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13 important tips on the psychology of investing: understanding the thinking behind market decisions

Craig Keary

Monday, February 24, 2025

Monday, February 24, 2025

Investing is often viewed as a rational, numbers-driven endeavour, but human psychology plays a crucial role in shaping market behaviour.

Investing is often viewed as a rational, numbers-driven endeavour, but human psychology plays a crucial role in shaping market behaviour.

Cognitive biases, emotional responses, and ingrained behavioural patterns frequently lead investors to act in ways that are inconsistent with purely logical decision-making. Understanding these psychological tendencies can help investors develop more disciplined strategies and avoid common pitfalls.

Financial markets, while often driven by fundamentals, are also deeply influenced by investor sentiment. When emotions take precedence over logic, investors may make irrational decisions, leading to market inefficiencies, speculative bubbles, and sharp corrections. By acknowledging the psychological forces at play, investors can cultivate a more measured approach to decision-making and ultimately improve their financial outcomes.


  1. Cognitive biases in investing: One of the most significant psychological factors affecting investors is cognitive bias, which leads individuals to interpret information in a way that reinforces their existing beliefs.  

  2. Confirmation bias: When investors seek out information that supports their preconceptions while ignoring contradictory data, it is described as confirmation bias. This can result in overconfidence and poor decision-making. Investors who fall victim to confirmation bias may dismiss critical information that could help them reassess their positions objectively, leading to suboptimal portfolio performance. 

  3. Loss aversion: Another common bias, loss aversion, is a concept introduced by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in Prospect Theory. Investors tend to feel the pain of losses more intensely than the pleasure of gains, which can lead to irrational behaviour. For example, an investor might hold onto a losing stock longer than they should, hoping to "break even", rather than cutting their losses and reallocating capital efficiently. This reluctance to accept losses can cause investors to suffer even greater financial setbacks over time. 

  4. Recency bias: When investors give undue weight to recent events and assume that current market trends will continue indefinitely, it is called recency bias. This can lead to speculative bubbles when markets are rising and excessive pessimism during downturns. When markets are in a prolonged rally, investors may believe that the upward momentum will last indefinitely, leading them to take on excessive risk. Conversely, in bear markets, recency bias can cause fear, leading investors to sell valuable assets at a loss out of panic. 

  5. Emotional Investing: Fear and greed are often cited as the two dominant emotions in investing. During bull markets, greed drives investors to chase returns, often leading to speculative frenzies. This was evident during the dot.com bubble of the late 1990s. Investors, driven by euphoria, may disregard valuations and fundamental analysis, instead focusing solely on short-term price movements and hype. This herd behaviour often inflates asset prices beyond their intrinsic values, making eventual corrections even more painful. 

  6. Fear: During market crashes, fear takes over, causing investors to panic-sell at the worst possible time. When prices fall sharply, investors often act irrationally, assuming further declines are inevitable. This can result in selling quality investments at a loss, only to see them recover once the panic subsides. 

  7. Follow the herd: Another emotional force is herd mentality, where investors follow the crowd rather than making independent, analytical decisions. This behaviour exacerbates market volatility, as seen in the global financial crisis of 2008, when mass panic led to widespread selling. The desire to conform to the majority often leads investors to buy at market peaks and sell at the bottom, the exact opposite of what rational investing would dictate. 

  8. Overcoming psychological pitfalls: Investors can mitigate psychological biases by adopting a disciplined, long-term approach. Setting clear investment goals, maintaining a diversified portfolio, and using systematic investment strategies—such as dollar-cost averaging—can help reduce the influence of emotions. However, perhaps the most powerful tool for making more rational investment decisions is developing self-awareness about one’s own psychological tendencies. 

  9. Understanding one’s own psychological tendencies: To make better investment decisions, investors must first understand their own behavioural patterns. Keeping an investment journal is a useful strategy - by documenting each investment decision, including the rationale and emotional state at the time, investors can later review their thought processes and identify recurring biases or emotional influences. Over time, this can help them recognise patterns in their decision-making and adjust their strategies accordingly. 

  10. Personal risk tolerance: Some investors may be naturally risk-averse and prone to panic selling, while others may be overconfident and take excessive risks. By understanding their own emotional triggers, investors can implement safeguards, such as setting predetermined exit strategies or automating investments to remove emotional decision-making. Recognising one’s true risk tolerance allows for better portfolio allocation and prevents decisions driven by fear or greed. 

  11. Look backwards: Reviewing past mistakes with an objective mindset can be invaluable. Instead of rationalising poor decisions, investors should analyse them to determine whether cognitive biases played a role. Did they sell in a panic during a downturn? Did they buy into a trend because everyone else was doing so? Recognising these patterns is the first step in correcting them. Over time, investors who make a conscious effort to learn from their mistakes can significantly improve their decision-making process and overall investment outcomes. 

  12. Keep learning: A commitment to continuous learning also helps investors refine their psychological approach. Reading books on behavioural finance, studying market history, and learning from past market cycles provide perspective and reduce impulsive reactions to short-term fluctuations. Markets have historically moved in cycles and understanding this helps investors stay calm and rational during periods of extreme volatility. 

  13. Have rules: Predefined investment rules can help counteract emotional decision-making. For example, setting a strict asset allocation strategy or employing a rebalancing approach ensures that investors maintain discipline even when markets become turbulent. Rules-based investing can help investors stick to their long-term strategies rather than reacting impulsively to market fluctuations. 

Ultimately, successful investing is as much about managing emotions and biases as it is about analysing financial statements and market trends. By understanding their own psychological tendencies, investors can develop more rational, disciplined decision-making processes. Those who master their psychology will be better equipped to navigate market uncertainties, avoid costly mistakes, and achieve long-term financial success. 

Recognising the role of psychology in investing is not about eliminating emotions entirely—this is nearly impossible. Rather, it is about developing the ability to manage emotions effectively, stay rational under pressure, and make decisions based on long-term objectives rather than short-term impulses. With self-awareness, discipline, and a well-structured investment approach, investors can significantly improve their financial outcomes and avoid the common psychological traps that hinder success. 

SelfWealth Ltd ABN 52 154 324 428 ("Selfwealth") (AFSL 421789). The information contained in this article is general in nature and does not consider your personal situation. You should consider whether the information is appropriate to your needs, and where appropriate, seek professional advice from a financial adviser and/or accountant. Taxation, legal and other matters referred to in this article are of a general nature only and should not be relied upon in place of appropriate professional advice. You should obtain the relevant Product Disclosure Statement for any product mentioned and consider its contents before making any decision.